Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Alcorcon
30.7%
Draw
25.8%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alcorcon
vs
0.79
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).