Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Vicenza
33.8%
Draw
23.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Vicenza
vs
0.77
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).