Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
FC Koln
25.5%
Draw
45.6%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
FC Koln
vs
1.44
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).