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AHT: 01CSV

19 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.9%
Leyton Orient
29.6%
Draw
22.5%
Plymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Leyton Orient

vs
0.71

Plymouth

Markets

BTTS34.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.3%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).