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DHT: 11CSV

08 Dec 2019 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Mouscron
34.1%
Draw
33.7%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Mouscron

vs
0.93

Standard

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
13.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).