Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.9%
Valladolid
4.9%
Draw
93.2%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Valladolid
vs
4.20
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.595.4%
Over 2.586.0%
Over 3.570.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.4%
0-3
9.9%
0-5
8.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-4
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
1-5
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
3.3%
1-1
2.2%
2-4
2.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).