Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Santa Clara
28.2%
Draw
61.1%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Santa Clara
vs
1.43
Porto
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.1%
0-0
16.0%
0-2
15.7%
1-1
10.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
0-4
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
2-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).