Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Grimsby
23.3%
Draw
23.0%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Grimsby
vs
1.00
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).