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HHT: 10CSV

01 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Braintree Town
38.0%
Draw
32.9%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Braintree Town

vs
0.81

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS30.3%
Over 0.577.9%
Over 1.547.3%
Over 2.520.6%
Over 3.57.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.1%
0-1
16.0%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
3-0
1.5%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).