Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.6%
Fenerbahce
8.5%
Draw
1.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
Fenerbahce
vs
0.57
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.1%
4-0
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
5-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.0%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).