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27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Annan Athletic
24.0%
Draw
52.9%
East Kilbride

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Annan Athletic

vs
2.12

East Kilbride

Markets

BTTS67.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).