Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Cheltenham
23.5%
Draw
29.5%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Cheltenham
vs
1.23
Newport County
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).