Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Osasuna
32.5%
Draw
22.8%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Osasuna
vs
0.70
Getafe
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).