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AHT: 01

26 Apr 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.1%
Chornomorets
34.1%
Draw
38.8%
Rukh Vynnyky

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Chornomorets

vs
0.97

Rukh Vynnyky

Markets

BTTS33.5%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.0%
0-1
16.8%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).