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12 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Coventry
24.1%
Draw
22.4%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Coventry

vs
1.15

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).