Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Estoril
20.4%
Draw
23.4%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Estoril
vs
1.26
Setubal
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).