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26 Feb 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.2%
Aalborg BK
18.6%
Draw
64.2%
Nordsjælland

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Aalborg BK

vs
2.58

Nordsjælland

Markets

BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-3
5.0%
1-4
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.8%
2-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).