Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Ponferradina
27.9%
Draw
34.3%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ponferradina
vs
1.13
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).