Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Eibar
26.2%
Draw
44.6%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Eibar
vs
1.52
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).