Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Hertha
25.6%
Draw
23.9%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Hertha
vs
1.10
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).