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27 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Livorno
25.3%
Draw
22.8%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Livorno

vs
1.14

Pescara

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).