Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Rochdale
26.4%
Draw
25.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Rochdale
vs
0.91
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).