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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.3%
Man United
20.9%
Draw
19.8%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Man United

vs
1.04

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).