Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Lincoln
26.3%
Draw
42.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Lincoln
vs
1.24
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).