Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.7%
Colney Heath
10.9%
Draw
84.4%
Mossley AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Colney Heath
vs
2.77
Mossley AFC
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-3
13.4%
0-1
10.6%
0-4
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
6.8%
1-1
5.1%
0-5
5.1%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
2.6%
1-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).