Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Walsall
23.6%
Draw
15.9%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Walsall
vs
0.68
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).