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AHT: 01CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.5%
Trabzonspor
19.1%
Draw
10.4%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Trabzonspor

vs
1.02

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).