Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Palermo
24.6%
Draw
13.0%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Palermo
vs
0.69
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).