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23 Jan 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
Paderborn
21.6%
Draw
12.5%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Paderborn

vs
0.80

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).