Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
M'gladbach
24.9%
Draw
53.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
M'gladbach
vs
1.77
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).