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DHT: 12CSV

04 May 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Greuther Furth
25.4%
Draw
34.3%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Greuther Furth

vs
1.53

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).