Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Spartans
25.4%
Draw
17.9%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Spartans
vs
1.04
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).