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10 Dec 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.9%
Buyuksehyr
17.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.98

Buyuksehyr

vs
1.26

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.579.4%
Over 3.561.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).