Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Wrexham
25.9%
Draw
25.3%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Wrexham
vs
1.17
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).