Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Sutton
26.9%
Draw
46.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Sutton
vs
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).