Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Motor Lublin
23.4%
Draw
19.4%
Nieciecza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Motor Lublin
vs
1.07
Nieciecza
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).