Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Lille
27.2%
Draw
18.4%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Lille
vs
0.67
Angers
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).