Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Red Star
21.2%
Draw
59.0%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Red Star
vs
1.80
Lorient
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).