Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Juventus
27.1%
Draw
32.3%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Juventus
vs
1.11
Roma
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).