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AHT: 00CSV

29 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Gateshead
22.1%
Draw
62.2%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Gateshead

vs
2.05

Bromley

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).