⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 20CSV

02 May 2025 · 19:00

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
28.4%
Grenoble
27.2%
Draw
44.4%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Grenoble

vs
1.21

Troyes

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).