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01 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.4%
Dundee United
25.4%
Draw
19.2%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Dundee United

vs
0.88

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).