Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Hartlepool
27.5%
Draw
49.1%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Hartlepool
vs
1.31
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).