Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Sutton
28.3%
Draw
35.3%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Sutton
vs
1.31
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).