Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Avellino
31.3%
Draw
34.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Avellino
vs
1.13
Brescia
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).