Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
İstanbul Başakşehir
23.4%
Draw
12.6%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
0.95
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).