Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Hertha
27.9%
Draw
36.3%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Hertha
vs
1.32
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).