Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Morecambe
27.8%
Draw
53.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Morecambe
vs
1.31
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).