Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
AFC Wimbledon
28.2%
Draw
28.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.91
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).