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AHT: 00CSV

05 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Regensburg
29.2%
Draw
34.8%
Erzgebirge Aue

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Regensburg

vs
1.26

Erzgebirge Aue

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).